Research output

Publications

Publication records have not yet been added to this site. Visit Dr Konstantinoudis’s official Imperial College London profile for his research record.

7 Oct 2026 https://dx.doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.02.26363997

Mortality Baselines and Excess Mortality Events in Belgian and Greek Cities Using Singular Spectrum Analysis

Delforge D, Charalampous P, Bustos Sierra N, De Clercq E, Katragkou E, Konstantinoudis G, Kostoulas P, Lambrou A, Masquelier B, Paraskevis D, Thiery W, Tonnelier M, Speybroeck N

xcess mortality estimates depend on an expected baseline, an unobservable quantity typically derived from models with prescribed functional forms and short reference periods that exclude exceptional events. Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) offers a nonparametric alternative but requires subjective component selection and is sensitive to outliers. We combined SSA with automated component selection and outlier interpolation to estimate long-term baselines and compile a catalog of excess mortality events (EMEs).

https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12940-026-01320-9

Attributing heatwave mortality to human-induced climate change in Greece: a case-crossover and attribution analysis for 2000–2019

Heatwaves increasingly threaten public health in the Mediterranean region, and Greece is among the hardest hit countries. Yet evidence on long-term adaptation, spatial vulnerability, and the contribution of human-induced climate change to heatwave-related mortality in Greece remains limited.